Racing runs on opaque tips and gut feel. We do the opposite: we publish a win chance for every runner, then check it against thousands of real results. As of 2026-07-28 the model is NO LONGER anchored to the de-vigged market — the win chance is our own ability model. It has not been re-validated since, and the last walk-forward test of that model scored it WORSE than the market, so the figures below describe the previous anchored model and are provisional. We claim no edge over the market.